Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://has.hcu.ac.th/jspui/handle/123456789/3526
Title: The Reproductive Index from SEIR Model of Covid-19 Epidemic in Asean
Authors: Pongkeaw Udomsamuthirun
Grittichon Chanilkul
Pongkarn Tongkhonburi
Chatcharawan Meesubthong
พงษ์แก้ว อุดมสมุทรหิรัญ
กฤษฏิชนม์ ชนิลกุล
พงษ์กานต์ ทองครบุรี
ชัชราวรรณ มีทรัพย์ทอง
Srinakharinwirot University. Faculty of Science
Srinakharinwirot University. Faculty of Science
Srinakharinwirot University. Faculty of Science
Huachiew Chalermprakiet University. Faculty of Business Administration
Keywords: SEIR model
แบบจำลองทางคณิตศาสตร์
Mathematical models
โควิด-19 (โรค)
COVID-19 (Disease)
การระบาดใหญ่ของโควิด-19, ค.ศ. 2020-
COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020-
Issue Date: 2020
Citation: medRxiv 29 April 2020
Abstract: As we calculate analytic to link the coefficient of third-order polynomial equations from raw data of an Asean to the SEIR model. The Reproductive index depending on the average incubation period and the average infection period and the coefficient polynomial equations fitted from raw are derived . We also consider the difference of the average incubation period as 5 days and 3 days with the average infection period as 10 day of an Asean. We find that the value of R0 are Indonesia (7.97), Singapore (6.22), Malaysia (3.86), Thailand (2.48), respectively. And we also find that Singapore has 2 values of R0 as 1.54 (16 Feb to 37 March) and 6.22 (31 March-4 April). The peak of infection rate are not found for Singapore and Indonesia at the time of consideration. The model of external stimulus is added into raw data of Singapore and Indonesia to find the maximum rate of infection. We find that Singapore need more magnitude of external stimulus than Indonesia. And the external stimulus for 14 days can stimulate to occur the peak of infected daily case of both country.
Description: สามารถเข้าถึงบทความฉบับเต็ม (Full Text) ได้ที่: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078287v1.full-text
URI: https://has.hcu.ac.th/jspui/handle/123456789/3526
Appears in Collections:Business Administration - Artical Journals

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